Stoke v Reading Preview

Stoke is Reading’s first stop this season and we’re as excited as you are. We’ve got a new kit, a new name for the stadium and after a super season, a new wave of enthusiasm.

The summer months teased us with an incredible Euro 2020 with England reaching the final, but we all know, club football’s where it’s at and we just can’t wait for the weekend to begin.

Stoke are never easy, especially away, that is true, however it is good to get these games in early as proper tests of fitness following a gruelling pre-season. The players are fresh and ready to impress Paunovic and this new season bounce can be good. 

Last season, the Royals made a super start to the season. They catapulted themselves up to the summer after an unbeaten start under a new manager. Now, he’s had more time to settle, the players know him and they fight for him more and more. He’s got some spark and his charisma made fans believe too. 

Get Reading to beat Stoke with odds of 47/20 0r 3.35 at Casumo

Correct Score: Stoke 0-1 Reading at 7/1or 8.00 

Even more good news came with the away allocation for tickets increasing to 1,500 and wow we’ve missed this. Away days are fun and having fans away from home will feel extra special for the players. Remember, Paunovic himself is yet to see more than 2000 visitors at the Select Car Leasing Stadium, and that was a one-off game.

Player news

Paunovic will have to shift things around often this season with no new signings possible. Yaloe Miete is out injured, however Andy Rhinamota is expected to play some part of the opening game. 

We predict this season will be a good platform for the academy players to step up to the plate and since they have plenty of experienced players around them, they will be in good company.

It’s the 150th anniversary of Reading FC so starting this special season with three points is important.

 

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Ligue 1 preview

Lille defied all expectations last season as they pipped Paris Saint-Germain to the title. It was Christophe Galtier’s last act as Lille’s boss before they swapped their manager. This season has all the ingredients for another titanic tussle. Will PSG wrench the title back? In this preview, we will look ahead to two fixtures on Matchday 1 — Troyes v PSG and Metz v Lille.

Lille sent out early title warning ahead of the new season

After their thrilling title triumph last season, Lille have been riding the crest of the wave, and they will be itching to get the new season underway. Lille once again got the better of PSG, this time in the Super Cup last Sunday. A super finish from Xeka on the edge of the penalty area on the stroke of half-time proved to be the difference.

Lille picked up four points from PSG last season, and they didn’t concede a goal in both of those meetings. While the Super Cup may appear to be just a glamorous friendly, Lille will feel they have laid down an early gauntlet. They will want to send out a strong message to PSG that they are in it for the long haul again.

Burak Yilmaz ready to silence his critics once again

At the grand age of 36, it might be expected from the outset that Burak Yilmaz will be slowing down. Far from it! Last season, Yilmaz fired home 16 goals, and the Turkish striker was the club’s top scorer. Along with Jonathan David, they produced 29 goals last season, and they’ll need to be in sync if Lille are to defend their Ligue 1 crown.

Metz hoping summer signings can spur them on to greater heights

Last season, Metz settled for a mid-table finish, but they were riddled with fitness issues. They were plagued by inconsistencies, and they shipped more goals (48) than they scored (44). This summer, they have made two acquisitions — Sofiane Alakouch from relegated outfit Nimes, and Nancy’s attacking midfielder Amine Bassi. The hope is that Bassi will give Metz more dynamism and fluidity going forward.

Metz v Lille: Looking back on past encounters

The head-to-head record can often be a good gauge of how things may unfold. Lille, you suspect, will relish this clash, and will be confident of posting their first three points of the campaign. Lille have chalked up 13 victories from their previous 21 meetings with Metz. And in the last encounter, Lille ran out 2-0 winners with Yilmaz, and Zeki Celik grabbing the goals.

Paris Saint-Germain desperate to start campaign on the front foot

Although things didn’t go according to plan in the Super Cup defeat to Lille last weekend, Mauricio Pochettino was without his prize assets Kylian Mbappe and Neymar. It wasn’t a completely weakened side though, as Ander Herrera and Mauro Icardi both started. However, after being pipped to the title last season, this will stoke the fires for PSG to set the record straight.

Pochettino admits PSG have “bigger things to win” this season, and they will begin their campaign in earnest with a trip to face Troyes on Saturday evening. Speculation had been rife over his future despite leading PSG to two titles last season, but he recently put pen to paper on a new one-year deal.

This time round, there is little room for error, and PSG must send a statement of intent. Mbappe will come under the spotlight, and it will be fascinating to see how he reacts after a disappointing campaign with France at Euro 2020. Summer signing Georginio Wijnaldum will be looking to settle quickly, and you sense PSG could pick off newly-promoted Troyes with ease.

Sergio Ramos could be forced to wait to make PSG debut

PSG will be on tenterhooks to see if Sergio Ramos — who joined on a free transfer from Real Madrid this summer — will be available to face Troyes. The Spaniard picked up a calf injury in training last week, which forced him out of a pre-season friendly against Sevilla. It remains to be seen whether Pochettino will take a gamble.

Ramos’ experience will be priceless and his big-game mentality will inspire the other squad members. Although he could be missing, PSG have historically dominated meetings against Troyes, with 12 wins from 18 clashes. The last time the two sides faced each other was three years ago, and PSG claimed a 2-0 win. Nothing will faze PSG!

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Bath horseracing

Another Casumo-sponsored afternoon this Wednesday as the SKY cameras head to BATH for a 7-race flat card.  

We run through each race with key stats and our best bets.  

Let’s get cracking! 

 

1:00 – Casumo Bet 10 Get 10 Handicap (Bath Summer Sprint Series Qualifier) Cl6 (3yo+ 0-65) 5f SKY

CASUMO VERDICT: A competitive 5f sprint here. Course and distance winners Top Boy, Coronation Cottage, Thegreyvtrain and Zulu Zander are all proven here and has to command respect. We’ve also got three last time out winners in Creek Harbour, Glamorous Force and Blue Venture in the race so all head here in-form. Of those mentioned, the Malcolm Saunders runner – CORONATION COTTAGE – actually took this race 12 months ago and can go close again. This 7 year-old won this off a 9lb higher rating last year too so despite not winning a race since has dropped back down the handicap and is starting to look dangerous off this current mark of just 55. The other of interest is recent winner – CREEK HARBOUR. The Adrian Wintle yard boast a decent 26% record here with their 4+ year-olds. This 6 year-old was a nice winner at Wolverhampton last time and is also a proven course winner at the track. 

 

1:35 – Casumo Best Odds Guaranteed Maiden Stakes Cl5 (3yo+) 5½f SKY

CASUMO VERDICT: The market will be a good guide here with many unraced or lightly-raced 3 year-olds. The Clive Cox yard have a decent 21% record with their 3 year-olds here so their entries Just Amber and PROP FORWARD are respected, with the last-named looking their better chance. This Iffraaj colt was a solid second on debut at Salisbury last month – beaten just a head – and with that experience under his belt is sure to go well. Adam Kirby, who has a 23% record here at the track riding 3 year-olds, does the steering. Twilight Secret is another that can go well after two seconds from his opening runs, while Strike A Pose and Ray Day are others to note in the betting. But the other call is the Marcus Tregoning runner – TISTAAHAL (e/w). This 3 year-old was down the field on debut last July at Goodwood, but has since had a wind op and been gelded. It’s interesting that Jim Crowley rides and he’s got a cracking 38% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds here at Bath. To back that up the Tregoning camp also boast an impressive 29% record with this age group at the track, so he might be worth having a small e/w interest in to improve on that opening run just over a year ago. 

 

2:10 – Download The Casumo App Today Fillies’ Handicap Cl5 (3yo+ 0-70) 1m2f SKY

CASUMO VERDICT: Tundra and Plansina catch the eye being the only two proven CD winners in the line-up, but it was hard to not be taken by the way SKY BRIGHT won last time out at Leicester. This Ed Walker runner stayed on really well that day after looking to hit a flat spot to eventually win by 1 ½ lengths. The form of that win has since been franked with the runner-up winning at Newmarket since. She’s up 4lbs for that win, but that looks a fair rise. Of the rest, the Godolphin runner, Natural Colour, can go well too, while Angels Landing is into a handicap for the first time and is another to respect. The other call though is MILLIE MIGLIA. This Clive Cox runner was only 2 lengths behind Sky Bright last time but has a 4lb weight pull in her favour this time so can be expected to get a lot closer. 

 

2:45 – Join Casumo Today Kelston Cup Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m2f SKY

CASUMO VERDICT: Ridgeway was a nice CD winner here back in June, but failed to back that up with a poor run at Ripon last time out so has a bit to prove. Really this looks a race the Clive Cox-trained Western Alliance runner and the Owen Burrows entry – Anmaat – can fight out. Both head here off the back of solid runs over his trip at Newbury (different races) last time out, but I just feel that with WESTERN ALLIANCE the slightly less exposed and also having his handicap debut here, there might be more to come from him. The ground looks perfect, while with just three career runs should have scope for more to come. The Cox yard also have a decent 21% record with their 3 year-olds at the track. 

 

3:20 – Casumo Horse Racing And Sports Betting Handicap Cl6 (3yo 0-65) 1m SKY

CASUMO VERDICT: MY BOY CHARLES (e/w) can go well hailing from the Adrian Wintle yard that do well with their runners here at Bath. This 3 year-old looks to be running into form too after an improved second at the track last time and gets in here off the same mark. That came over 1m2f, but he got a bit tired in the closing stages to suggest this drop back to a mile is another good move. He’s taking on three recent winners though in Point Louise, Yanifer and Hurricane Helen. Point Louise and Hurricane Helen are both proven CD winners too. Yanifer has, in fact, won his last two but is up another 6lbs here for the last of those and you feel the handicapper will catch up with him soon. Hurricane Helen won well here last time, but that was in a Classified Stakes and back into a handicap makes life harder. Point Louise escapes a penalty for her win last time out, but you feel this is a harder race too. So, that brings us back to YANIFER, who might just be the most reliable despite going up another 6lbs. The good news for his supporters is that connections have booked Saffie Osborne to ride, and she can offset 5lbs of the 6lb penalty. He’s got a big weight to carry still (9-13) but has a consistent profile and might just have a bit more to come still over this longer trip. 

 

3:55 – Casumo Proud To Support British Racing Handicap (Bath Summer Stayers’ Series Qualifier) Cl6 (3yo 0-65) 1m6f SKY

CASUMO VERDICT: Just the four runners here, but with a 44% record at the track with their 3 year-olds, the Sir Mark Prescott yard have to be respected – they run ALAMBRISTA. This filly was beaten 3 lengths here last time out over this trip – however, is down a pound for that and with only three rivals this time this looks an easier race. Luke Morris rides. Golden Whittle and Temple Lock have a bit to prove on recent runs, so the danger can come from the Marcus Tregoning runner – ARTEMIS SKY. This 3 year-old is the least exposed in the field and is interesting up in trip to 1m6f for the first time. She’s was outpaced over 1m3f last time at Windsor, so this step up in distance looks well worth a crack. 

 

4:30 – Gamble Responsibly With Casumo Apprentice Handicap Cl5 (4yo+ 0-70) 1m SKY

CASUMO VERDICT: A tricky apprentice handicap to end the card and not the best contest with most of the runners having something to prove. With that in mind it might pay to just keep things simple here and stick with the two past course and distance winners – CAPTAIN CLARET and NEVER SAID NOTHING. The former ran okay here at the track in June (6th) – however, is now 4lbs lower and also have a nice draw in 3. He’d probably not want much more rain, but Georgia Dobie is booked to ride too and has won on the horse in the past here at the track too. Never Said Nothing was last seen running well to be fourth at Epsom last month and has been given a chance by the handicapped dropped 2lbs for that. He’s another with a nice draw in 1 and jockey Elisha Whittington gets on very well with the horse. Of the rest, the Andrew Balding runner – Spirit Warning – is another to consider, while Canal Rocks and Regulator off a low weight can’t be ruled out. 

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Olympic Games

It has been an action-packed, and dramatic couple of weeks in Tokyo. From eye-catching performances in the 100m men’s final to stunning displays in the pool from Team GB, you just can’t take your eyes off the Olympics. In this preview, we will look ahead to some of the big medal events taking place this week.

Can Simone Biles crown tough Olympics with gold in the women’s beam event?

For Simone Biles, it has been an Olympics she would perhaps rather forget. After withdrawing from the team final following one rotation, and then the next four individual events, Biles has felt the strain. She cited her mental health as the reason for why she pulled out, but she has been confirmed on the start list for the women’s beam event final on Tuesday.

Biles — who was the darling at Rio in 2016 — when she stormed to five gold medals, qualified for six finals in Tokyo. However, this time around she has been struggling with her routines, most notably her twisties. Biles will be competing in the rescheduled balance team final alongside team-mate Suni Lee, and she will be desperate to crown it with a gold.

  • Team USA to win the women’s balance beam event: XX
  • Team ROC to win the women’s balance beam event: XX

Olympics 2020: Can Team US strike gold in the basketball?

After an inauspicious start to their Olympics campaign when they suffered an 83-76 defeat to France, Team US got things back on track when they enjoyed a blowout 119-84 victory over the Czech Republic last weekend to secure a spot in the knockout stages. Jrue Holiday posted 11 points, while JaVale McGee finished with 10 points to set up a quarter-final meeting with Spain.

Team USA may not have it all their own way against Spain

In terms of the bracket, Team USA will fancy their chances. Their record stands at 12-0 when it comes to Olympics, but the last three Olympic meetings between the two sides has seen Team USA prevail by an average of eight points per game. This is one of the strongest USA teams, but they will have to be mentally strong to see off Spain.

Team USA hoping to reel in China at Olympics 2020

So far, it has been another memorable display for Team USA at the Olympics. Notoriously one of the strongest countries, they have amassed, at the time of writing, 20 gold medals, six shy of China’s tally, and they are second in the medals table. However, they have won four more medals (60) overall than the Chinese.

Olympics 2020: Team US looking for redemption after mixed relay disqualification

The relay races are always fraught with danger. Just ask Team USA’s mixed relay race team who were disqualified in the heats after the baton was exchanged outside the designated changeover zone. The men’s 4x400m relay team will be hoping to rubber-stamp a spot in the final, and storm to gold.

On Saturday evening, the men’s team will be hoping to defend the title they won in Rio five years ago. On that evening, they were truly dominant as the team comprising the likes of LaShawn Merritt, and Arman Hall saw off Jamaica and the Bahamas. It is an event that Team USA have a proven track record in, and they’ll hope to pocket another gold.

  • Steven Gardiner to win the 400m final @5/4 with Casumo
  • Wayde Van Niekerk to finish in the top three @2/1 with Casumo

Meanwhile, Steven Gardiner, who took bronze in the 4x400m men’s relay final, will be looking to go better in the 400m. The Jamaican, who was second at the World Championships in 2017, is the reigning world champion. He has been in terrific form leading up to the Games in Tokyo, and he will be a strong contender for this weekend’s 400m final.

Olympics 2020: Pat McCormack eyeing gold after Aidan Walsh forced to withdraw

Team GB look set for another golden Olympics insofar as boxing goes. Pat McCormack is through to Tuesday’s welterweight gold medal bout against Cuba’s Roniel Iglesias after Aidan Walsh pulled out of their semi-final clash with an ankle injury. Walsh picked up the injury in his quarter-final victory over Mervin Clair.

Meanwhile, Ben Whitaker put on a masterclass as he saw off Imam Khatatev to advance to the -81kg final via a split decision. And he will face Cuba’s Arlen Lopez in the final on Wednesday. Lopez has a natural orthodox stance, and he is an effective switch hitter, so he could cause problems for Whitaker.

18+ | Odds subject to change| Please gamble responsibly | www.begambleaware.org 

Glorious Goodwood day 5

It’s Panama hats, Pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the end of July with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 27th July to Sat 31st July 2021). As always, the West Sussex track can expect decent crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

Here at Casumo, we’re on-hand each day throughout the meeting – giving you the key trends and our free tips for the LIVE ITV races.

We continue into DAY FIVE with five more LIVE ITV races, with the Group Two Lillie Langtry Stakes and the Stewards’ Cup two of the highlights. 

Did you know? 17 of the last 18 Stewards’ Cup winners were aged 6 or younger and had won at least 3 times before in their careers.  

Let’s get cracking! 

DAY FIVE – Saturday 31st July 2021

1.20 – Thames Materials Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 7f ITV


11/11 – Carried 9-4 or less
9/11 – Had run in the last 3 weeks
9/11 – Won over 7f before
8/11 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
8/11 – Won 2 or 3 times before
8/11 – Rated between 91-96
8/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Had run at Goodwood before
4/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/11 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/11 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
2/11 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
2/11 – Winning favourites
2020 Winner: Society Lion (5/4 fav) 

 

CASUMO KEY TREND: 8 of the last 11 winners were drawn in stalls 7 or lower and had won 2 or 3 times before

CASUMO VERDICT: The Mark Johnston yard have a fair record in the race so their Ryan Moore-ridden Red Mirage will be trying to improve that record, but after winning nicely at Kempton and Chelmsford earlier in the season has struggled a bit off his higher mark. The Andrew Balding team boasts a 24% record with their 3 year-olds at the track – they run Oo De Lally, who is the top-rated in the field. Godolphin’s Quintillus is respected, while recent scorers Farasi Lane and Master Zoffany head here in winning form. But the two I like here are SPIRIT OF BERMUDA and RUN TO FREEDOM (e/w). The former has won her last two in good fashion at Leicester and Newmarket. Is up just 2lbs for the last of those, but is also the only CD winner in this field after scoring here on debut last July. Then Run To Freedom hails from the Henry Candy yard that boast a decent 42% record with their 3 year-olds at the track. This colt didn’t run too badly last time at Sandown, but was slowly away that day and didn’t really settle thereafter. He’s had a nice break since and having been sent off favourite for that last race indicates he’s better than what we saw last time. 

1.55 – Unibet Stewards’ Sprint Stakes Handicap (Consolation Race for the Qatar Stewards’ Cup) (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f

16/17 – Didn’t win their last race
16/17 – Had won over 6f previously
15/17 – Raced at Goodwood previously
14/17 – Had 4 or more runs that season
13/17 – Won at least 3 times during their career
12/17 – Finished 4th or worse in their last race
12/17 – Favourites unplaced
9/17 – Priced between 8/1 and 12/1 in the market
9/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
8/17 – Winning Distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
7/17 – Raced at either York (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
3/17 – Trained by Clive Cox
3/17 – Favourites (one in the last 14 years)
1/17 – 3 year-old winners
2020 Winner: Treacherous (7/1)
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 13 or lower
14 of the last 15 winners carried 9-0 or more
10 of the last 15 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-5
Just 1 winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings

CASUMO KEY TREND: 9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 13 or lower

CASUMO VERDICT: With only one winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings this might be seen as a negative for Mokaatil. We’ve also got last year’s winner in the race back for more – TREACHEROUS (e/w) – who is up 4lbs from that win last season. He’s not won a race since but has run well in defeat the last twice and does seem to save his best for this track – he’s 2-from-2 here! With 14 of the last 15 winners carrying 9st or more this would be against the bottom six on the card – Music Society, Thegreatestshowman, Show Me Show Me, Abduction, Be Proud and The Lamplighter. Looking at the draw, with 9 of the last 10 winners coming from stalls 13 or lower this might be something to note, while don’t worry if your fancy comes here slightly out of form – 12 of the last 17 winners finished 4th or worse last time out. The recent winners in the field are First Folio, Bickerstaffe and Mamillius. There isn’t really an age trend either with the last 10 winners ranging from 3 to 9 years-old. Ryan Moore catches the eye riding for Mick Appleby too – Zim Baby – but you really could make a case for many here. The other three we’ll take a chance on though are ABLE KANE, ROYAL SCIMITAR and OPEN WIDE. The former was way too keen at Windsor last time out but was sent off as favourite that day and won well the time before at Leicester. If able to forgive that run could easily bounce back from draw 13. Royal Scimitar returned to form with a fair fourth last time at Newmarket and comes from the Clive Cox yard that won this race in 2013. Then Open Wide, who is drawn 3, wasn’t beaten far at Lingfield last time out and with the useful Saffie Osborne riding this time to claim a handy 5lbs that will help.  

2.30 – Summer Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

17/18 – Had won at least twice before
16/18 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
14/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/18 – Carried 9-7 or more
11/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Rated between 90-100
10/18 – Placed favourites
9/18 – Came from the top three in the betting
6/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
5/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
8 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 10-14 (inc)
2020 Winner: Hochfeld (15/2)

CASUMO KEY TREND: Trainer Mark Johnston has won 6 of the last 18 runnings

CASUMO VERDICT: Another race the powerful Mark Johnston yard have done well in over the years – winning 6 of the last 18. This year they’ve got two entries again – The Trader and also last year’s winner of the race Hochfeld. The current champ is, however, rated 8lbs higher this year so has a lot more in his plate. Therefore, a chance is taken on THE TRADER (e/w), who does have a bit of an up and down profile, but isn’t too badly treated at the moment and his last run was a slightly better (7th of 12 at Haydock). He’ll be tackling this longer trip for the first time but has won over 1m5f in the past. 14 of the last 18 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old, so this might be a negative for the older runners in the field – On To Victory, Hochfeld, Urban Artist, and Nuits St George. Win O’Clock, Rhythmic Intent, Boss Power and My Frankel all ran well last time out and the Prescott runner – BODYLINE (e/w) who hasn’t been out for 317 days is interesting for this shrewd handler off a light weight. He was last seen winning well at Yarmouth last September and is only 5lbs higher. The fact he’s been kept off the track since suggests the yard might be trying to protect his mark and the yard are no strangers to getting one ready first time out. The final one of interest is FUTURE INVESTMENT (e/w). This Ralph Beckett runner was only just touched off by a nose at Ascot last time out. He’s hit the frame in 8 of his 14 career starts (3 wins) and stays further than this 1m6f, which will help if conditions get any worse with the ground.  

3.05 – Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m6f ITV

16/18 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
15/18 – Had raced 2 or more times already that season
14/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/18 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/18 – Had run at Goodwood before
10/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/18 – Ridden by Tom Queally
9 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 4-6 (inc)
Enbihaar has won the last two runnings
2020 Winner: Enbihaar (1/2 fav)

CASUMO KEY TREND: 12 of the last 18 winners were aged 3 or 4 years-old

CASUMO VERDICT: The clear form pick here is the talented David Menuisier-trained WONDERFUL TONIGHT. We last saw her winning the G2 Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot, when powering away to beat Broome by 1 ½ lengths. She loves soft ground and is likely to get that again here. She’s won over this 1m6f trip in the past too and being a Group One winner in the past should find this drop in grade to her liking, despite having to give a bit of weight away. The main danger might be Albaflora, but this Ralph Beckett runner was 6 lengths behind Wonderful Tonight last time at Ascot so has a lot of ground to make up. Believe In Love won well at Leopardstown last time out and is also a course winner, she’s considered too for the places, but I feel the Aidan O’Brien-trained DIVINELY (e/w) can improve now upped in trip after staying on well over 1m4f last time in the Irish Oaks. Of the rest, Golden Pass, Tribal Craft and the only CD winner in the field Makawee are the others that have claims to hit the places. 

3.40 – Unibet Cup (Stewards´ Cup) (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

18/18 – Had won over 6f before
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
17/18 – Had at least 3 previous career wins to their name
16/18 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
12/18 – Raced at either Ascot, York or Newmarket last time out
11/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/18 – Placed favourites (top 4)
10/18 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/18 – Raced at Goodwood before
9/18 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/18 – Favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
2/18 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/18 – Trained by William Haggas
3/18 – Winning 3 year-olds
2020 Winner: Summerghand (22/1)
12 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure draw

CASUMO KEY TREND: 17 of the last 18 winners were aged 6 or younger

CASUMO VERDICT: Super competitive as always. The first trend to note is that 17 of the last 18 winners have been aged 6 or younger. This is not good news for the older horses – Chiefofchiefs, Summerghand, who won this race last season, Mr Lupton, Danzeno, Major Jumbo, Gulliver and Justanotherbottle. 12 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure draw too, so this is another trend to take into account. Expect the front-running Punchbowl Flyer to make a bold bid from the front – he won’t mind the softer ground either but is up 6lbs from his last win at Windsor. The hat-trick seeking EJTILAAB has switched from the Ian Williams yard to Charlie Fellowes. He’s up 8lbs for his last win at Newcastle, however, could be up to the task looking a fast-improving sprinter. Last year’s winner Summerghand has been running in better races than, but is only rated a pound higher this year and can’t be ruled out being one of the class acts in the race. Atalanta’s Boy is the only other CD winner in the field, but needs to bounce back from some average runs of late. Desert Safari has won well in his last two race at Goodwood and the form of this recent third here to Lord Riddiford on Tuesday was a sign he could be returning to form. Fresh and Hurricane Ivor have both been popular in the betting in the build-up to this race and have to be considered for the James Fanshawe and William Haggas yards, that have both won this race before. The other picks though are MOTAGALLY (e/w) and MERAAS (e/w). The first-named didn’t get the best of runs last time out at Beverley but still ran on well to take second behind the speedy Caspian Prince. He’s down a pound here and Jim Crowley rides. Meraas, for trainer Mark Johnston, won’t mind the softer ground and ran well to be a fair 6th in this race 12 months ago. He’s rated 3lbs lower this time and Ryan Moore in the saddle this time can help bridge that gap. 

 

18+ | Odds subject to change| Please gamble responsibly | www.begambleaware.org