Euro 2020 Golden Boot odds and betting tips

When it comes to betting on a big tournament like Euro 2020 there is nothing like pinpointing the top goalscorer before the start of the competition. To help you pick yours, we decided to list the top 10 odds favourites for the Euro golden boot, ranking them from the highest to shortest-priced.

Moreover we will give you our top Euro betting tips and run through the key factors to take into consideration when placing a bet in this outright market. Keep in mind that the top scorer Euro 2020 odds will constantly change up until (and during the tournament) and that all odds stated were accurate at the time of writing. Euro 2020 is around the corner, so let’s get underway.

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Top 10 goalscorer odds favourites at Euro 2020

The following players are the top 10 odds favourites at the time of writing. For actualised odds see the table at the bottom of the page or the Casumo sportsbook.

10. Serge Gnabry (Germany) – 24/1

When poring over the top scorer odds Euro 2020, Serge Gnabry, who failed to make the grade at Arsenal, has been lighting things up in the Bundesliga with Bayern Munich. Last season was slightly more stop-start, as he picked up a thigh injury during the FIFA Club World Cup Final, which saw Bayern beat UANL 1-0.

Nevertheless, Gnabry returned double figures in all competitions and he will be a threat. While he will be appearing at his first European Championships this summer, Gnabry has already made an impact on the world stage. At the 2016 Olympics in Rio, the 25-year-old finished as the tournament’s top scorer en-route to the silver medal.

In the Euro 2020 qualifiers, Gnabry caught the eye, hitting a hat-trick in Germany’s 6-1 demolition of Northern Ireland in Frankfurt. He finished the qualifying campaign with 8 goals, and 1 assist. Currently, Gnabry is a tempting price of 24/1 in the Euro 2020 top goalscorer odds.

9. Timo Werner (Germany) – 19/1

Following a high profile transfer from RB Leipzig to Chelsea last summer, Timo Werner — who arrived with a big reputation — was expected to settle in straight away. However, his strike rate decreased massively since the move.

Nevertheless, Chelsea enjoyed a fine season despite the turbulence caused by Frank Lampard’s departure. From Werner’s point of view, he will be hoping that Euro 2020 proves to be a release from his club woes. Werner only played three games in the Euro 2020 qualifiers, and he will be hoping to muscle his way in and be a regular starter for Joachim Low.

In the Euro 2020 top goalscorer odds, Werner is currently an outsider at 19/1, but it would be unwise to underestimate him.

8. Alvaro Morata (Spain) – 19/1 

After a troubling time at Stamford Bridge, Alvaro Morata has enjoyed loan spells at Atletico Madrid and Juventus, his current club. Although he was unable to prevent the Serie A title heading to Inter Milan, the Spaniard was effective in the Champions League group stages and the Coppa Italia.

Morata knows his way to the goal, and in a Spanish side flooded with talent, he can make his mark at Euro 2020. Although he was selected for Euro 2016, it was a tournament to forget for La Furia Roja, as they were dumped out at the last-16 stage by Italy.

Currently, Morata is valued at 19/1 to finish as the top scorer at Euro 2020.

7. Robert Lewandowski (Poland) – 19/1

Widely regarded as one of the most prolific strikers in Europe, Robert Lewandowski has won everything possible at club level, including Bundesliga titles and the Champions League. But now he will be looking to put things right at an international level, and claim a European Championship with Poland to add to his already bulging silverware collection.

The 32-year-old — who struck six times during the Euro 2020 qualifiers — has managed to stay relatively injury free, and he will be hoping to rip apart teams single-handedly as he has done for Bayern.

At Euro 2016, Lewandowski was a part of the Polish side that reached the quarter-finals before they lost to Portugal 5-3. Lewandowski only scored once during Euro 2016, and he is currently carrying odds of 19/1.

6. Antoine Griezmann (France) – 19/1

The top scorer odds tips Euro 2020 always sparks debate, as it leaves bettors and fans divided because there are several things that need to be taken into account. Antoine Griezmann usually pops up in this conversation. While he has failed to hit the heights at Barcelona over the past couple of seasons, as he did previously while he plied his trade with La Liga rivals Atletico Madrid, Griezmann’s international credentials are unquestioned.

Indeed, Griezmann finished as top scorer at Euro 2016 with six goals, and he is one to pay attention to in the Golden Boot betting tips. During France’s 2018 World Cup campaign, Griezmann was joint second in the Golden Boot stakes with 4 goals, with only Harry Kane ahead of him. Although he faces competition for a starting spot in Les Bleus’ starting XI, Griezmann knows where the back of the net is.

In terms of the Euro 2020 Golden Boot odds, Griezmann may currently seem a little long at 19/1, but he could tempt some bettors into parting with their cash.

5. Memphis Depay (Netherlands) – 15/1

While his struggles were well-documented at Manchester United, Memphis Depay appears to be rejuvenated at Lyon. With the Ligue 1 outfit, he has been given a chance to thrive, and the results have been spectacular on the pitch. However, whether he can take his good form into Euro 2020 is another question.

We haven’t seen Depay grace a European Championships after the Netherlands failed to qualify for the 2016 edition. It also seems crazy to think he’s just 27 years old, as it feels like Depay has been in the game for ages.

Nevertheless, Depay could be a decent shout in the Golden Boot betting tips, and in the Euro 2020 golden boot odds, he is currently trading at 15/1.

4. Romelu Lukaku (Belgium) – 10/1

Sitting just outside the top three in the Euro 2020 top goalscorer odds is Romelu Lukaku. The former Manchester United and Chelsea star lit up Serie A this season, winning his first Scudetto in May with Inter Milan and he is a player that continues to flourish.

Lukaku is renowned for being a bustling striker, who has a quick turn of pace and likes to get a shot off early. Belgium was sensational during the Euro 2020 qualification process. Lukaku netted seven times, and he provided three assists as the Red Devils secured a maximum of 30 points out of 30. Roberto Martinez’s charges are the real deal, and this ‘Golden Generation’ of players have what it takes to be crowned European Champions. Now it’s a case of turning the potential into reality.

Lukaku, like Kevin De Bruyne and Eden Hazard, is in the prime of his career, and he can shake things up in the top scorer odds Euro 2020. At the time of writing, he is priced at 10/1 to collect the Golden Boot.

3. Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal) – 9/1

Cristiano Ronaldo needs little introduction! After years of frustration on the international stage, Ronaldo ended his long wait for an international trophy when he picked up the European Championship trophy four years ago. A 1-0 win over France in the Final ensured this.

While he is in the autumn of his career, Ronaldo continues to keep himself in excellent physical shape, and he has a rather gruelling training regime. During the Euro 2020 qualifying process, Ronaldo was on top form as he netted 11 goals, and he will always be a big presence.

Although Ronaldo’s Juventus ceded their seemingly vice-like grip on the Serie A trophy to Inter Milan, the Portuguese superstar will want to erase such memories by winning Euro 2020. And you can currently get odds of 9/1 on Ronaldo to be top scorer at Euro 2020. He is afterall, top scorer in the Serie A, so you can never write off a true goalscoring genius. 

2. Kylian Mbappé (France) – 9/1

Only 22, but already a World Cup winner, it seems like Kylian Mbappé has little left to prove. At the 2018 World Cup final, Mbappé scored with a thunderous strike against Croatia. He will be looking to have an impact at Euro 2020, and he will be making his debut at the tournament.

Luckily, Mbappé has plenty of time on his hands, and he is only going to get better. Although Mbappé suffered heartbreak in the Champions League final in 2020 at the hands of Bayern Munich with Paris Saint-Germain, Mbappé has already lifted the Ligue 1 title. He will no doubt continue to amass plenty of prizes in the years to come.

Mbappé is one of those players that really makes you sit up and take notice and he could be a real handful for teams. He only needs half a chance and he is deadly! At the time of writing, Mbappé is among the Euro top scorer favourites, as he is priced at 9/1.

1. Harry Kane (England) –  7/1

It has been another terrific season from a personal perspective for Harry Kane. While he may have picked up a few ankle niggles for Tottenham, and he finished the campaign without a trophy, he has been a model of consistency. Aside from his clinical nature in front of the goal, he has added assists to his game, and he has a telepathic relationship with Son Heung-Min on the pitch.

Kane came into his own during the Euro 2020 qualifiers, as he was top scorer with 12 goals. Despite the injury concerns, Kane will be hoping that he can use the mini three-week break between the end of the Premier League season and Euro 2020 to be in peak physical shape, as well as recharge the batteries.

After reaching the World Cup semi-final in 2018 with the Three Lions, Kane will be desperate to go one further. He will always be there or thereabouts in the euro top scorer favourites. At the time of writing, Kane is the shortest price at 7/1 to notch the Golden Boot.

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Betting tips – factors to consider when betting on the top goalscorer

There are a few key aspects to factor in when betting on an outright top scorer market. Some of these are generic and apply to all top scorer markets while others are specific for the big national team tournaments like the World cup and the Euros that traditionally have taken place every fourth summer. As the format of the Euro 2020 is somewhat different from previous tournaments we will also need to take this into consideration, let’s get to it.

Which teams are likely to go far in the tournament?

One of the first things you need to make up your mind about is which teams you think will progress far into the tournament. The difference between being knocked out in the round of 16 and progressing all the way to the final is three games and a whole lot of goalscoring opportunities. Portugal will be the team to beat this summer, as they are reigning champions after victory over France in the Euro 2016 Final. However, it’s England who are currently favourites in the outright market with odds of 11/2 to win. You can see the odds of each team to progress to the semi finals and further below:

NameWinnerTop 2Top 4
France5/111/427/20
England11/25/26/5
Belgium6/15/213/10
Portugal8/17/211/5
Germany9/17/22/1
Spain9/17/231/20
Italy11/17/29/5
Netherlands14/14/111/5
Denmark25/19/17/2
Croatia40/113/19/2
Turkey50/120/18/1
Switzerland70/120/17/1
Sweden75/120/18/1
Poland80/120/16/1
Austria100/140/111/1
Russia100/140/18/1
Ukraine100/140/19/1
Wales100/150/113/1
Czech Republic150/150/111/1
Scotland250/1100/125/1
Finland300/1300/150/1
Slovakia300/1150/130/1
Hungary500/1250/140/1
North Macedonia500/1300/170/1

 

Historically the top goalscorer have progressed far into the tournament and a quick look at the golden boot winner of the last five Euro cups make it reasonable to assume that this year’s top scorer will be found among the four teams that make it at least to the semi finals.

  • 2016 – Antoine Griezmann, France, 6 goals (Final)
  • 2012 – Fernando Torres, Spain, 3 goals (Champion)
  • 2008 – David Villa, Spain, 4 goals (Champion)
  • 2004 – Milan Baros, Czech Republic, 5 goals (Semi final)
  • 2000 – Patrick Kluivert, Netherlands, 5 goals (Semi final)
  • 2000 – Savo Milosevic, FR Yugoslavia, 5 goals (Quarter final)

Given this assumption the golden boot winner will then, according to the odds, most likely come from either England, Belgium, France or Germany. But players in the teams ranked right after this top four should of course not be disregarded either and some top contenders like Cristiano Ronaldo and Memphis Depay are good options to back. 

Home advantage

We all know that home advantage is important in football. Just how important it is going to be in this year’s Euros is however very difficult to predict since the tournament for the first time ever will be hosted by more than two countries. Unlike previous tournaments, Euro 2020 will have games staged across the continent, and in total there will be no less than 11 cities hosting games. The host cities are: 

  • Amsterdam (the Netherlands)
  • Baku (Azerbaijan – no home field advantage)
  • Bucharest (Romania – no home field advantage)
  • Budapest (Hungary)
  • Copenhagen (Denmark)
  • Glasgow (Scotland)
  • London (England)
  • Munich (Germany)
  • Rome (Italy)
  • Saint Petersburg (Russia)
  • Seville (Spain)

An important note here is that at least two of the games of the “home nation” will be played just at home during the group stage, which should drastically increase these nations’ possibilities to advance to the round of 16. Another thing to take special note of is that both the semi finals and the final will take place at Wembley, London, meaning that if England make it this far into the tournament they will have an important advantage. Something which of course could favour Harry Kane who is the current odds favourite for the golden boot title. For more information about which teams that could play at home if they advance past the group stage can be found on UEFA’s website 

In what form does the player arrive at the Euros?

We have quite some information to take into account here. How has the player performed for his club and how has he performed for the national team in the games leading up the european championship? This is the point where it is up to you to do the research on the player, or players, you are specifically interested in placing a bet on. For those of you who are looking for interesting dark horses to win the golden boot we will however provide you with a look at the top 10 goalscorers in the Euro 2020 qualifiers as we think it is an excellent place to start.

  • Harry Kane (England — 12 goals)
  • Eran Zahavi (Israel — 11 goals)
  • Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal — 11 goals)
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic (Serbia — 10 goals)
  • Teemu Pukki (Finland — 10 goals)
  • Artem Dyzuba (Russia — 9 goals)
  • Raheem Sterling (England — 8 goals)
  • Giorginio Wijnaldum (Netherlands — 8 goals)
  • Serge Gnabry (Germany — 8 goals)
  • Romelu Lukaku (Belgium — 7 goals)
  • John McGinn (Scotland — 7 goals)

Now, out of these players there are a couple of players that already are out of the competition before the playoffs even start, namely, Eran Zahavi and Aleksandar Mitrovic. However, Teemu Pukki, Artem Dyzuba, Raheem Sterling, Giorginio Wijnaldum and John McGinn are all interesting names to consider. Taken into account the factor we previously reviewed – home advantage – it might be especially interesting to note that Artem Dyzuba will play at home no less than two games in the group stage and that these games will be played in the same stadium where he normally plays for his club side Zenit Saint Petersburg. 

What style of play does the team have? 

There is much to be said about this topic and you can make it infinitely complex if you like to. Here we will however settle with considering whether the team plays offensive or defensive football, in the sense if they score a lot of goals or not! Judging purely from their performance in the qualifications there is for example quite a difference between the top four favourites to win Euro 2020. Out of these, England, with a new generation of players that look very comfortable on the ball, was the team that scored the most goals per game, averaging no less than 4.6 goals per game. Belgium, led by their main striker Lukaku, averaged 4 goals per game, while Germany and France “only” averaged 3.75 and 2.5 goals per game respectively. It is of course somewhat unfair to compare the teams in this manner as they faced vastly different opposition in the qualification stage, but it does nevertheless give us a clue about what to expect, and this should help you when placing your bets.

The player’s status in the squad

Finally you should have a look at and consider what the player’s status within the team is. Is he likely to take penalties and free-kicks? Does the team play in a formation that benefits his style of play and that is likely to put him in goal scoring positions that he usually scores from in his club side? Take for example Kylian Mbappé. He quite often plays a slightly different role for club than country. While he at PSG often is the spearhead of the attack, in the national team he is usually starting from a wing with the natural focal point being his compatriot Olivier Giroud. Harry Kane is on the other hand being played in a more similar position while with the national team.

At the end of the day it is up to you how to conduct your research, you might just have a gut feeling for who will win it this year and speaking from personal opinion this could be just as valuable as any research in the world. Most importantly is that you enjoy your betting and gamble responsibly. 

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Actualised top goalscorer odds for Euro 2020

NameWinner
Kane, Harry (England)7/1
Lukaku, Romelu (Belgium)7/1
Mbappé, Kylian (France)10/1
Ronaldo, Cristiano (Portugal)13/1
Benzema, Karim (France)17/1
Depay, Memphis (Netherlands)20/1
Lewandowski, Robert (Poland)20/1
Immobile, Ciro (Italy)22/1
Griezmann, Antoine (France)25/1
Morata, Álvaro (Spain)25/1
Werner, Timo (Germany)25/1
Gnabry, Serge (Germany)35/1
Belotti, Andrea (Italy)40/1
Havertz, Kai (Germany)40/1
Rashford, Marcus (England)40/1
Moreno, Gerard (Spain)40/1
Foden, Phil (England)40/1
Jota, Diogo (Portugal)40/1
Torres, Ferran (Spain)40/1
Kramarić, Andrej (Croatia)40/1
Weghorst, Wout (Netherlands)40/1
Hazard, Eden (Belgium)50/1
Yılmaz, Burak (Turkey)50/1
Alcácer, Paco (Spain)60/1
Bale, Gareth (Wales)60/1
De Bruyne, Kevin (Belgium)60/1
Mertens, Dries (Belgium)60/1
Sané, Leroy (Germany)60/1
Sterling, Raheem (England)60/1
Müller, Thomas (Germany)60/1
Insigne, Lorenzo (Italy)66/1
Aspas, Iago (Spain)80/1
Fernandes, Bruno (Portugal)80/1
Giroud, Olivier (France)80/1
João Félix (Portugal)80/1
Sancho, Jadon (England)80/1
Kalajdzic, Sasa (Austria)80/1
Malen, Donyell (Netherlands)80/1
Olmo, Dani (Spain)80/1
Seferović, Haris (Switzerland)80/1
Eriksen, Christian (Denmark)100/1
Isak, Alexander (Sweden)100/1
Schick, Patrik (Czech Republic)100/1
Yaremchuk, Roman (Ukraine)125/1
Braithwaite, Martin (Denmark)150/1
Dzyuba, Artem (Russia)150/1
Greenwood, Mason (England)150/1
Origi, Divock (Belgium)150/1
Poulsen, Yussuf (Denmark)150/1
Rebić, Ante (Croatia)150/1
Abraham, Tammy (England)150/1
Batshuayi, Michy (Belgium)150/1
Kean, Moise (Italy)150/1
Wijnaldum, Georginho (Netherlands)150/1
Embolo, Breel (Switzerland)150/1
Pogba, Paul (France)150/1
Cheryshev, Denis (Russia)200/1
Pukki, Teemu (Finland)200/1
Silva, Bernardo (Portugal)200/1
Berg, Marcus (Sweden)200/1
Forsberg, Emil (Sweden)200/1
Modrić, Luka (Croatia)300/1
Yarmolenko, Andriy (Ukraine)300/1
Ramsey, Aaron (Wales)750/1
Larsson, Jordan (Sweden)750/1

 

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