Manchester Derby Casumo Betting Preview

We would have loved a closer title race and perhaps a closer contest this Sunday as Manchester City play arch rivals United, but we need to be realistic. City have been unbelievably good and while Man United flirted with the idea of a title race, they were always going to be out of their depth.

Sunday’s Manchester derby is almost a Pep Guardiola exhibition as his brilliant City have the opportunity to flex their muscles again. They’ve been unplayable really with a record breaking run that dropped our jaws. Conceding only 17 goals in 27 games is no mean feat and a goal average of over 2 goals per game is the league’s highest.

Their 4-1 destruction of Wolves helped City equal their record of the longest unbeaten run in the league of 28 games. 21 of those, yes 21, have been consecutive victories. It’s ridiculous really, especially in what is one of the most competitive leagues in the world.

The ribbons are being tied around the gorgeous handles of the Premier League trophies and should United do the unthinkable and beat them on Sunday, those ribbons will still be blue come May.

As for Manchester United, this season is not a failure, just yet. Should they finish second they will be content and will say there is no shame in losing the league to such a dominant force. There is still time for the Red Devils to slip up of course, but they are on course for a top four finish which was the bare minimum.

Sunday’s game can be a chance for City to show off and brag about their brilliance.

Two drab goalless draws against Chelsea and Palace made United look toothless. Get this, they only managed one shot on target at Selhurst Park and a similar approach would ensure City crush United. We’ve seen it before, so don’t be surprised if we see another hopeless drubbing. United can’t defend extremely well, often make serious errors when playing the ball out of the back line and City, well, City seem to score for fun.

So what will it be?

Over 4.5 goals? thats at 4/1 or 5.00
A classy 3-0 City win? Priced up at 21/2 or 11.5

Either way you look at it, Manchester City seem indomitable and look to make light work of United.

Madrid Derby Betting Preview Casumo

All eyes will be on Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid on Sunday afternoon. The crosstown rivals will collide in the Madrid derby at the Wanda Metropolitano Stadium and the result could have a big bearing on the title race. 

Atletico Madrid can seize further control in title race

Atletico have been formidable all season, and they warmed up for the visit of Real with a 2-0 win away to Villarreal last weekend. Jan Oblak pulled off a series of great saves for Atletico, but a Pedraza own goal and a fabulous volleyed effort from João Felix secured all three points for Simeone’s charges.

As things stand, Atletico have a game in hand over their arch-rivals, and they are five points clear at the top of the table. Atletico last lifted the La Liga title in 2013, are keen to topple the duopoly once more.

  • Atletico Madrid to beat Real Madrid @2.7 with Casumo
  • Both teams to score @1.92 with Casumo

Simeone could be handed Kieran Trippier boost for Madrid derby

Simeone has been without Kieran Trippier, as the full-back has been serving a 10-week ban for a gambling-related offence. However, he has now resumed training with the first team squad. Jose Gimenez and Yannick Carrasco, meanwhile, missed the win over Villarreal, and the Real clash may well have come too soon for them.

Simeone continues to make history with Atleti

Having taken over 10 years ago, Simeone has given Atleti an identity, and they have made excellent progress under his tutelage. In 512 matches, Simeone has chalked up 308 wins. This betters the record of Atleti coaching great Luis Aragones, who racked up 308 victories in 612 games during his several spells in charge of the club.

Felix’s ‘rebellious’ goal celebration pleases Simeone

Simeone can be rather fiery, and this seems to have passed onto his players. Felix put his finger to his lips before shouting in Portuguese in the direction of the Atleti bench after scoring against Villarreal. Simeone admitted after the game that he loves it when players ‘rebel’, but it will be interesting to see how Felix celebrates if he scores against Real!

Real have opportunity to blow open title race

Atletico are currently holding all the cards in the title race, but a Real victory could turn things on its head. Although Zinedine Zidane’s men have only tasted defeat once in their past six outings, they needed a late equaliser from Vinicius Junior to rescue a point against Real Sociedad at home.

Compared to Atletico, Real have been more leaky at the back as they have conceded 20 goals this term, and they have scored four goals fewer than their rivals. One of Real’s main problems this term has been their inability to take their chances in front of the goal.

  • Luis Suarez to score anytime against Real Madrid @2.43 with Casumo
  • Atletico Madrid to score first and win the match @3.00 with Casumo

As far as past meetings go, things weigh heavily in Real’s favour as they haven’t lost to Atleti in the league for five years, either home or away. In the corresponding fixture earlier this season, Real ran out 2-0 winners.

Real keeping close eye on Karim Benzema progress

With just a few days to go until the Madrid derby, Zidane will be desperate for Karim Benzema to return. The French hitman – who has hit 12 La Liga goals this term – has sat out the last three matches for Los Blancos with an ankle injury, and his absence has been sorely felt.

Although Vinicius Junior popped up with a late goal against Sociedad, the goals haven’t flowed for the Brazilian this term. Zidane admitted he had to ‘change the dynamic’ after an hour against Sociedad. But Real need Benzema back to inject more energy into their attack.


Odds subject to change 

Reading v Sheffield Wednesday Casumo Preview

Binary scorelines got Reading six points from their last two games and with Sheffield United in town on Saturday, a repeat scoreline would be welcomed. Yes, 1-0s are difficult to watch as fans are never certain of the three points, but the relief the final whistle brings is brilliant.

Based on form alone this match looks like an easy three pointer for the Royals, but as we know things are never so straightforward – especially giving Wednesday’s league position. They are one place off the bottom and teams in their situation get desperate. They try to shut shop and aim for clean sheets, so we don’t expect a goal flurry for Reading.

Yes, Sheffield have lost their last four games, but they will be fighting for their lives from now on. Two of those four defeats were indeed by a 1-0 scoreline, and their last outing was a 3-2 defeat to Luton Town.

Reading’s recent trend of 1-0 wins leads us to believe that one goal will separate the sides by full time. You can either get Reading to win 1-0 at 19/4 or 5.75 or perhaps go for both teams to score at 23/20 or 2.15. Reading 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday is also yours at 8/1 or 9.00.

The main task for Reading is to set more daylight between their current position and seventh place, as the push for the playoff positions continues. Three more points are the order of the day, so the hard work and graft continues with another important game.


Liverpool v Chelsea Casumo Preview

Who knew that Liverpool v Chelsea would be all about the top four race? With Manchester City running away with the title and Liverpool’s hopes all but faded, Klopp’s main ambition is now the top four. Chelsea’s poor start and eventual managerial change was always going to make this season a tricky one, but they are still in a good position to make a charge for a Champions League berth.

And here we are. Chelsea are in fifth place just one point above Liverpool and it’s all to play for.

The maths

FiveThirtyEight crunched the numbers and as it stands, Liverpool have a 61% of making the top four.

Chelsea’s lower chance of 48% means that this game is slightly more important for them.

These figures will change weekly and depend on previous results and current form, but the likelihood of an outsider like West Ham or Aston Villa clinching a spot ahead of the traditional big four is slim. Arsenal’s chances are rated at 5% while Manchester United, currently in second have an 85% chance.

The form

Liverpool should be more worried about their current form than Chelsea. Anfield has not proved to be a fortress this season and they are on a terrible run as they have lost their last four games at Anfield…

Their 2-0 win at Sheffield United did little to comfort fans as a win against the basement boys should be a given, unless you are Manchester United, who did lose to Sheffield and draw against West Brom.

Chelsea’s last result was a 0-0 draw against Manchester United, which essentially handed Manchester City the title. Chelsea did well, dominated the game but failed to find the net as David de Gea looked at his best again. A repeat performance with more energy up front is required to beat Liverpool. Thomas Tuchel is still undefeated as Chelsea manager, and he seems to have tightened the Blues’ defence up. His side have only conceded two goals in his first nine games as Chelsea manager. Compare that to Frank Lampard, who conceded 16 in his first eight and you can see real progress.

The odds

Of course, Tuchel’s Chelsea has never come up against Mo Salah, the Premier League’s leading goal scorer. The Egyptian has an impressive haul of 17 goals so far this season, in what is meant to be an off-season for his club. Surely if anyone can breach Chelsea’s back line it would be him and we’re pricing him up at 4/1 or 5.00 to score the game’s first goal.

A Chelsea win to nil, just in case that tickles your fancy is at 5/1 or 6/1 but we do feel a draw is the most likely outcome. 1-1 is chalked up at 11/2 or 6.5, which would do neither side a favour and would mean those percentage ratings above will swing in favour of the outsiders once again.

Reading v Blackburn Casumo Preview

Reading are back at the Madejski Stadium, after two games on the road, with Blackburn Rovers in town for a Tuesday night kick off. 

The visitors are keen to stop their rot after a poor run which saw them Blackburn lose five of their last six matches;. They slippinged to 15th in the table.  Wand while Reading’s win over Rotherham was vital, we know the Royals are capable of much more. One point out of 18 is not a promising return for Blackburn so Reading are smelling a victory. One the road, the Rovers’ form does not inspire brilliance either. They are winless in three away matches in a row, so Reading will do well to put them under pressure from the get-go.

Michael Morrison’s goal clinched three important points for Reading and a win against Blackburn will ensure confidence in the camp continues to grow. The playoffs are within reach still and with 13 Championship games to go, maintaining high confidence will be crucial. 

The main threat comes from Adam Armstrong as the Rovers forward has scored 19 goals this season. He is the second top scorer in the division, having scored two more than Lucas Joao, who you might argue is due a goal after a tricky spell. We’ve priced Lucas Joao up at 7/2 or 4/5 to score the game’s first goal and get the ball rolling for the Royals.

Rafael Cabral’s clean sheet at Rotherham was important and claiming back- to- back ones can provide a building block for the team going forward. 

Back Reading to win to nil at 14/5 or 3.8.

Three points, a clean sheet and a happy set of players is the demand this week, so let’s back our Royals to roar forward against the Rovers.