Sandown tickets

As a way of welcoming sports fans back to events, we’re giving you the chance to win tickets to Sandown!

Terms and Conditions

 

  1. Entrants must be aged 18 or over.
  2. No deposit is required to enter the competition.
  3. One correct winner will be chosen at random.
  4. Competition periods:

Competition launched: Friday 23rd July 2021 at 13:00 CET 

Winner announced: Wednesday 28th July at 16:00 CET 

 

  1. To enter the competition you must follow the instructions in the competition post published by Casumo’s Global Twitter account (https://www.twitter.com/CasumoSports). Which are the following; 

 

Follow @CasumoSports and like the competition tweet. 

 

  1. Entrants can only enter once. 
  2. Edited comments/screenshots will not be considered as a valid entry and automatically disqualified.
  3. Any comments deemed to be offensive or in any way deemed to be offensive will be deleted and these will not be taken into account for this competition.
  4. The prize per giveaway will be tickets to Sandown
  5. The price will be announced:

Wednesday 28th July at 16:00 CET 

 

  1. The winners will be announced via the competition thread and a separate twitter post.
  2. The promoter’s decision is final on all matters relating to the competition and no correspondence on the matter will be entered into.
  3. Winners will then be contacted via private message through Casumo’s Global Twitter handle within 2 working days from the date the draw takes place. 
  4. The Winners will be asked to provide their full name and address via private message to Casumo. This information is then passed to Sandown who use it in order to post the prize. The information you provide is not used by Sandown or Casumo for any other purpose than sending you your prize. 
  5. Winners have 72 hours to reply to this message with these details. If this is not done in the stipulated time, you will forfeit the winnings and another winner will be chosen.
  6. Each entrant is responsible for monitoring his or her Twitter account for notification
  7. There is no cash alternative to the prizes.
  8. By entering this competition, participants agree to these Terms and Conditions.
  9. This competition is in no way sponsored, endorsed or administered by, or associated with, Twitter.
  10. You are providing your information to the promoter, not Twitter.
  11. The information you provide will only be used for the purpose of facilitating the competition winner.
  12. By entering the competition, all participants agree to give Twitter a complete release from any and all legal liability in connection with the competition.
  13. The promoter reserves the right to amend or withdraw the competition if deemed necessary due to circumstances outside its reasonable control.
  14. Promoter: Casumo Services Limited, The Unicorn Centre, Triq I-Uqija, Swieqi, SWQ 2335, Malta. 

18+. No deposit required. 1 entry per customer. For prize structure and qualifying criteria please see our Terms & Conditions that apply. Please gamble responsibly. www.rgf.com.mt

 

18+ | Odds subject to change| Please gamble responsibly | www.begambleaware.org 

 

Ascot Horseracing tips

This Saturday we’ve one of the highlights on the horse racing calendar as it’s King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes day at Ascot. This middle-distance Group One race gives another chance for the Classic generation of 3 year-olds to take on the older horses and we’ve another ‘must see’ contest to look forward to.  

Okay, only six runners in this year’s King George renewal, but it’s still set-up to be a cracker with Epsom Derby hero – Adayar – taking on the multiple Group One winning filly – Love. 

Add in the exciting Wonderful Tonight, the globe-trotting Mishriff, plus Irish Derby runner-up Lone Eagle and the consistent Broome, then who will come out on top at Ascot on Saturday?

Did you know? – 16 of the last 19 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes winners were aged 3 or 4 years-old.

Plus, if that’s not enough, the ITV cameras are also at York this weekend to take in three more LIVE races – spearheaded by the Group Two York Stakes.

Like all big race days, here at CASUMO we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.  

Let’s Get Cracking! 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends 

1:50 – Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

15/18 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/18 – Had won just once before
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/18 – Won over 6f before
11/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/18 – Winning favourite
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Won by the Hannon yard
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
9 of the last 15 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 15 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 9 winners came from stall 1
Under The Stars (25/1) won the race in 2019 

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

CASUMO KEY TREND: 8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower 

CASUMO VERDICT: Some promising juvenile fillies in show here and having run a cracker to be second in the G2 Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes at HQ last time out, the Stuart Williams-trained DESERT DREAMER sets a fair standard. This drop in grade slightly into a G3 will help and the stiffer Ascot track can also help as she was doing all her best work at the death last time out. Oisin Murphy takes the ride. Next best looks to be the Hannon-trained System, who actually beat Desert Dreamer on debut at Newmarket at the end of June so there should be a lot between the two, but I just feel the Williams runner has progressed well since in a better race than this and can reverse that form. Attagirl, Crazyland, Delmona and Nymphadora are others that have made pleasing starts to their careers and can go well, while with horses from stall one having a good record in the race, the Hollie Doyle-ridden NAZANIN (e/w), is of interest of those at bigger prices. She won well on debut at Newbury (soft), so any rain won’t be an issue, plus she’s had just over a month to get over that last outing.  

2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV


9/10 – Carried 8-8 or more
7/10 – Winners between stalls 8-15
5/10 – Had won just once before
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10– Won last time out
4/10– Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
9 of the last 10 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2020
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2019
Trainer Clive Cox won the race in 2018
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

CASUMO KEY TREND: 9 of the last 10 winners carried 8st 8lbs or more 

CASUMO VERDICT: Several past-winning trainers are back for more here with Hughie Morrison (Marsabit), John Gosden (Guru) and Andrew Balding (Mystery Smile) all having runners. Isla Kai has been in cracking form this season too and commands a lot of respect – he heads here on a four-timer and is closely-matched with the Gosden runner GURU, having beaten that horse by just a neck here last time. The weather will be key too, as there are reports of a lot of rain over the weekend, but I feel with Guru returning last time from a 3 month break, he can reverse that form with Isla Kai. This 3 year-old also gets in there with only 8-9 to carry and with only four career runs should have more to come. Fantastic Fox is another that’s sure to be popular returning to 1m. He clearly didn’t stay the 1m2f last time at Royal Ascot, but if there was any rain, I’m not sure if this would be a plus having been beaten soundly now the twice he’s raced on soft. Latest Generation has the form to be considered too, but the other pick is the Morrison runner – MARSABIT (e/w). This 3 year-old will have the services of Hollie Doyle and heads here having won three of his last four. He’s only got 8-3 to carry in weight and caught the eye – albeit in a lesser race – last time, when winning easily. 

 

3.00 – Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

18/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/18 – Had raced at Ascot previously
16/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Won over 7f previously
14/18 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
13/18 – Favourites unplaced
13/18 – Won between 2-4 times previously
11/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/18 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
11/18 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
10/18 – Aged 4 years-old
7/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/18 – Winning favourites
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 11 years
12 of the last 14 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
11 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall
9 of the last 14 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Blue Mist (9/2 fav) won the race in 2020 
Raising Sand (7/1) won the race in 2019
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

CASUMO KEY TREND: 12 of the 14 winners can at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out 

CASUMO VERDICT: Trainer Richard Fahey has won this race three times in the last 11 years, so his two runners Tadleel and Gabrial The Wire are worth having on your radar at bigger prices. With 11 of the last 14 winners coming from a double-figure draw, this might be a way of knocking out 9 of the 22 runners, including the well-fancied Danyah (drawn 4), who was a solid second in the Buckingham Palace Stakes here at the Royal Meeting in June. But jockey Dane O’Neill was riding that day and it’s interesting he prefers to do the steering on another Shadwell horse – MOTAKHAYYEL, who was very impressive when winning at Newmarket last time out. This Richard Hannon runner is up only 3lbs for that 3 ½ length win, is a proven CD winner here at the track and has won on ‘good to soft’ ground, so a bit of rain would be okay. He’s drawn 19 of the 22 runners too and looks to have a big chance. The other Shadwell runner – Aldaary – is another CD winner and is respected but draw 2 might not be ideal. Matthew Flinders, Lord Rapscallion, Dance Fever and Star Of Orion are others that are drawn high and have been running well of last too. The Jamie Osborne-trained Raising Sands won this in 2019 and is back for more too – draw 12 will give him options and he’s rated 3lbs lower here too. Osborne also has CLIFFS OF CAPRI (e/w), who was runner-up in this race 12 months ago. He’s rated 2lbs lower this time and does seem to love it here at Ascot, where he’s also a CD winner. Softer ground will be okay and drawn 21 is a plus also. The final one to mention for me is the Hugo Palmer runner – ACQUITTED (e/w) – who ran well for us three weeks ago at Sandown (3rd). He gets in here off the same mark and stayed on well that day so should be doing his best work at the finish. Having won on heavy ground, then any rain will be fine, while in a race of this nature is still relatively lightly-raced with just 10 career outings. 

3:35 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

19/19 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
17/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
16/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/19 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
16/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Placed last time out
15/19 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/19 – aged 4 years-old
12/19 – Had run Ascot before
11/19 – Won their previous race
10/19 – Favourites that won
8/19 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
8/19 – Won at Ascot before
5/19 – Trained by John Gosden
4/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 7 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 10/3

CASUMO KEY TREND: 16 of the last 19 winners were aged 3 or 4 years-old 

CASUMO VERDICT: A bit of a shame we’ve only got the six runners for this prestigious Group One, but it’s still a decent renewal. If the rain comes, then the David Menuisier-trained WONDERFUL TONIGHT (e/w) will have a much better chance and she could not have been more impressive when winning the G2 Hardwicke Stakes here last month – beating another runner, Broome. That runner-up has also since franked the form by winning a G1 in France, so the form looks solid. She’ll certainly need some of the wet stuff though, but the forecast is saying she might just get it! However, the race does revolve, around the Epsom Derby winner – Adayar – and the classy filly LOVE. The former was a slightly shock winner of the Derby in June but being a 3 year-old gets a handy 8lbs off Love and is only officially rated a pound lower than her. He clearly loved being steeped up in trip last time and handles soft ground should the rain come. It’s hard to knock his chance, but, for me, I’d just like to see him back up that Derby win first as in recent years we’ve had some strange winners of that Epsom Classic that haven’t quite fulfilled their claims. Therefore, I’d rather stick with LOVE, who has now won her last four races, including last time out in the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes here. That came over 1m2f, but we know she stays this 1m4f trip well having bolted up in the Epsom and Yorkshire Oaks last season. She’s unraced on really soft ground, but breeding suggests she’ll be fine on it and even though it won’t be easy having to give 8lbs away to this season’s Derby winner, she’s a classy filly that I think is up to the task. We’ve also got the globe-trotting Mishriff and the Frankie-ridden Lone Eagle in the race. Both are certainly no back numbers either. Mishriff was last seen running third in the Coral-Eclipse, but my only niggle is that he’s got to give 3lbs away to Love and his only previous run here at Ascot wasn’t a great one. Lone Eagle was a close second in the Irish Derby under Dettori and has form on soft ground too. He gets weight from all the others barring Adayar too and having won four of his 7 starts is a fast-improving middle-distance colt that can’t be totally ruled out either.    

York Horse Racing Trends 

2.05 – Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Aged between 5-7 (inc)
3/3 – Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
2/3 – Won by trainer Paul Midgley
1/3 – Winning favourite

CASUMO KEY TREND: Trainer Paul Midgley has won 2 of the 3 past runnings 

CASUMO VERDICT: Jump jockeys riding over 5f on the flat – whatever next!? Anyway, probably not a race to get too involved in based on that, but the safest call if you do want a play in the race is to just side with the Paul Midgley yard – they’ve won the race twice in the last three years. The are clearly going for it again too with five entries – MID WINSTER, VENTURA EXPRESS, JAMES WATT, NIBRAS AGAIN and SON AND SANNIE. Of that bunch, the Sam Twiston-Davies ridden Mid Winster will be popular having won well at Doncaster last time. But is up 5lbs for that and has been beaten in her last three runs at York – that would be a concern. So, I’d rather side with his proven CD winners in the field – JAMES WATT (e/w) and NIBRAS AGAIN (e/w). The former won here last time out by only a head, but looked to have a bit more in-hand at the line so the 5lb rise looks fair. Top jump jockey Brian Hughes has been booked to ride too. Nibras Again only just failed to get up at HQ last time out over this trip and having run well the time before at Nottingham looks a sprinter running into form – Jonathan England will be the passenger. Of the rest, Dark Shot is often never far away, but does find it hard to win these days, while Secretinthepark and Eeh Bah Gum are the other two proven CD winners in the field to respect. Soul Seeker is the only other last-time out winner in the line-up too, but as s result is up 3lbs more in the ratings – with Tom Scudamore booked to ride though he still looks a big player and is sure to be involved.

 

2.40 – Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

17/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/17 – Had won between 2-6 times before
15/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
15/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
10/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Had run at York before
6/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/17 – Won last time out
10 of the last 15 winners carried 9-0 or more
Muscika (10/1) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (10/1) won the race in 2019
Flying Pursuit won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

CASUMO KEY TREND: 15 of the last 17 winners carried 8st 12lbs or more 

CASUMO VERDICT: With 10 of the last 15 winners carrying 9-0 or more in weight, this is a plus for only the top five on the card – Lahore, Gulliver, Streamline, Venturous and Mondammej. It’s a race the Tim Easterby yard have a good record in so their runners – Golden Apollo (2020 & 2018 runner-up), Music Society, Flying Pursuit and Manigordo enter calculations. Of that bunch, his Flying Pursuit won this race in 2017 and 2018 so has the pedigree to go well. He’s rated 86 now too and with the last of those wins (2018) coming off a rating of 94, he’s got an obvious chance. However, of the Easterby runners, I was taken by the way MUSIC SOCIETY (e/w) finished last time out at Hamilton (2nd) and probably should have won. The horse didn’t get the best of runs but flew in the final furlong to lose by just a nose. Jockey Ella McCain rides again and can claim a handy 5lbs – with a bit more luck in-running he can go well. While Easterby’s GOLDEN APOLLO (e/w) has to go well again in a race he loves to run well in. This 7 year-old has finished second, fourth and second in the last three runnings of this race. He’s rated 3lbs lower than 12 months ago too and heads here in fine fettle after good runs at Thirsk and Pontefract.  We’ve also got another past winner – Muscika – in the race and he’s only a pound higher so has to be considered, plus the Scott Dixon runner – Giogiobbo – has found a new lease of life winning his last three and his latest 4lb rise in the handicap is offset by Kieran Schofield’s 5lb claim. 

3.15 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/15 – Rated between 111 and 117
9/15 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/15 – Had run at York before
8/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Aged 6 years-old
2/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Aspetar (11/1) won the race in 2020
Elarqam (7/1) won the race in 2019

 

CASUMO KEY TREND: 14 of the last 15 winners were aged 6 or younger 

CASUMO VERDICT: The 119-rated Armory is a good place to start having run Love to 1 ½ lengths when third in the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes at Royal Ascot last time out. This Aidan O’Brien runner is the top-rated in the field and back into a Group Two looks to have a big chance. But, that said, it won’t be easy having to give weight away to all the others, including the exciting MOHAAFETH, who has won his last four. This Shadwell 3 year-old colt is improving rapidly up the ranks and caught the eye again last time when bolting up in the Hampton Court Stakes at Royal Ascot. He’s up again in grade here but it’s interesting that jockey Jim Crowley has come here instead of going to Ascot to ride. He’s rated 7lbs inferior to Armory as this stage of his career but gets a handy 12lbs from that rival in weight to swing things back in his direction. He looks an exciting middle-distance colt that I feel can continue his upward progression. Of the rest, Bangkok, Montatham and recent Ascot scorer, Juan Elcano, are all classy sorts on their day too and should make bold bids. However, they’ve all got a bit to find on the ratings and at the weights, so it would still be a shock if the solid Armory and the upcoming Mohaafeth aren’t fighting this one out – with the 12lb weight pull in favour of the Shadwell horse, that can be the difference for me. 

18+ | Odds subject to change| Please gamble responsibly | www.begambleaware.org 

 

Olympic Games

The COVID-19 pandemic may have delayed the start of the Olympics by a year, but the athletes have been making their way to Tokyo for the world’s biggest sports event. While some will look to add another glorious chapter to their career, others will be relatively unheralded. So, read on to see who you should pay attention to over the next few weeks.

Olympics 2020: Tadej Pogacar targets unique double on the road

For most cyclists, the Tour de France represents the pinnacle of the sport. Tadej Pogacar became the second-youngest winner ever this year, but now he has set his sights on adding an Olympic gold medal to his cabinet. The 22-year-old Slovenian will be hoping to turn it on, and he will be competing in the road race, and time trials.

It is a quick turnaround for Pogacar, who will also be battling jet lag, as he prepares for the men’s cycling race on Saturday. While Pogacar will be hoping to follow in the footsteps of Bradley Wiggins, and Miguel Indurain, who captured the Tour de France, and Olympic gold medals in their career. Of course, it isn’t a given that Pogacar will take gold.

Team GB suffer COVID scare just before the start of the Games

While the Olympics will be a more slimmed down version without fans, COVID remains a grave threat. Six Team GB athletes must self-isolate after coming into close contact with a member of the public on a flight to Tokyo. While the six athletes haven’t been named, they will have to pass two PCR tests before they can interact with the rest of the squad.

Olympics 2020: Adam Peaty ready to defend his 100 m breaststroke title

Adam Peaty is already Team GB’s answer to Michael Phelps, and he has not lost a 100 m breaststroke race in major competitions in over seven years. Five years ago at Rio, he stormed to gold and holds the 20 fastest times in history in the event. He will relish trying to break the world record of 56.88 secs, and his heats begin on Saturday.

Adam Peaty ‘obsessed’ with breaking records at the Olympics

What distinguishes the great athletes from the rest, is their insatiable appetite to win, and break records. While Peaty may face competition from the likes of Dutchman Arno Kamminga, Peaty has a mental fortitude that has kept him at the top of his discipline for such a long time. He said: “I’m very obsessed with continually pushing the boundaries of what is possible.”

Olympics 2020: Simone Biles ready to dazzle once again in Tokyo

Gymnastics always makes for compelling viewing at the Olympics. Having exploded onto the scene, she became royalty at Rio in 2016, and she is expected to reign supreme once again in Tokyo. A five-time Olympic medallist, it will be interesting to see how the supposed veteran performs, although her GOAT (Greatest of All Time) status is not in doubt.

On the floor, Biles has continued to amaze, and she is hoping to break new ground by becoming the first gymnast to successfully defend the all-around title in over 50 years. Biles has added new weapons to her armoury, and it may take something extraordinary to prevent her from walking away with the gold once again.

While lockdown will have affected many of the athletes in more ways than one, Biles is a warrior, who is happy to put her body through the rigours of competition. The women’s gymnastics competition begins in earnest on Sunday, and it will be fascinating to see how this unravels.

Shelly-Ann Fraser Pryce to have one more shot at gold in the women’s 100m

Of all the track events at the Olympics, the women’s 100 m will be simply unmissable. A star-studded field will be led by six-time Olympic medallist Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce. At the age of 34, it may well be the last time we will see her at the Olympics. She is also looking to claim a third-straight Olympic title, something only two other women have achieved.

Fraser-Pryce has been in sensational form in the run-up to the Games, and she clocked a super quick time of 10.63 seconds last month. However, Team GB boast a genuine superstar in Dina Asher-Smith. Although Asher-Smith pulled out of the British Grand Prix event in Gateshead with a tight hamstring, she is a serious contender, and she will push Fraser-Pryce hard.

18+ | Odds subject to change| Please gamble responsibly | www.begambleaware.org 

The importance of transparency

At Casumo we strongly believe in the importance of transparency towards our players. We don’t like complicated terms and conditions or small print. Instead, we like to be open and straightforward and help answer our players’ questions whenever and as fast as we can! Our dedicated Casumo Ambassadors Team receives questions and queries on a daily basis. We asked them to collect and share their Top 10 FAQs so that we can highlight those right here on the Casumo blog. This could either be a quick reminder to our existing players or for new players to understand how we roll at Casumo Casino. 

Read on for Casumo’s Top 10 FAQs! Continue reading

Newbury preview

This Saturday we’ve another busy day of LIVE ITV Racing with the cameras heading to Market Rasen and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues. 

At Market Rasen, over the sticks, it’s their biggest day of the season with the Summer Plate Chase (2.40) and Summer Handicap Hurdle (2.05) the feature contests.   

Then at Newbury, the Group Three Hackwood Stakes (4.00) tops the bill – a race 14 of the last 17 winners were aged 5 or younger. 

Like all big race days, here at CASUMO we’ve got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.  

Let’s Get Cracking! 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends 

1.50 – bet365 Stakes (Reg as the Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

12/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
11/16 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/16 – Had run at the track before
6/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – Had won a Group race before
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Winners from stall 1
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Won last time out
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 11 runnings

CASUMO KEY TREND: 11 of the last 16 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting

CASUMO VERDICT: Course winner – Stormy Antarctic – can go well and will be fresher than most after a few months off since winning well at Goodwood at the end of May. But this Ed Walker runner was put in his place when beaten 2 ½ lengths by SOLID STONE at Windsor earlier this season and that’s hard to ignore. This Sir Michael Stoute runner has since run a respectable third in the Wolferton Stakes at Royal Ascot, while the yard has a fair record in this race. Trip and ground are fine and this 5 year-old is also the top-rated in the line-up. Blue Cap, Fox Tal and Felix are others to respect, as is the only other course winner in the field – Majestic Dawn – but the other call is the Godolphin runner – REAL WORLD (e/w). The ‘boys in blue’ have a decent record in this race – winning 4 of the last 11 renewals so that’s the first positive. This 4 year-old was an impressive winner of the Royal Hunt Cup at Ascot last time out over a mile and even though this is a step up in trip and in grade, he won with plenty in-hand that day to suggest he’s worthy of respect. 

2.25 – Bahrain Turf Series Cup (Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

Just three previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/3 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
1/3 – Winning favourites
Reshoun (14/1) won the race in 2020, Ian Williams
Withhold (17/2) won the race in 2019, Roger Charlton
Stratum (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018, Willie Mullins 

CASUMO KEY TREND: Withhold won this race in 2019 

CASUMO VERDICT: Mildenberger and Sleeping Lion are both course winners that can go well, while Global Heart has to be respected if you can forgive his last two runs. Of that bunch, the John Gosden-trained Mildenberger looks sure to run his race again and will be popular with the each-way players. Margaret Dumont has a very consistent profile and ran another solid race last time at Newcastle when runner-up in the Northumberland Vase. But the winner of that race – ZEEBAND – is back for more here too and I think he can uphold that form. Yes, the runner-up is 5lbs better off this time, but the Roger Varian-trained Zeeband won well that day (2 ½ lengths) to suggest he’s up to franking that run. Cases can be made for the Paul Nicholls runner – Scaramanga, while the Ian Williams yard have won this race before – they run INDIANAPOLIS (e/w), who could be interesting. He gets in with just 8-6 to carry and looks the sort to do well upped back up in trip to 2m after looking a bit one-paced over 1m6f last time at Ascot. Finally, we’ve also got the 2019 winner in the race – Withhold – back for more. This Roger Charlton runner is the only CD winner in the field and Oisin Murphy has been booked to ride. But he’s not getting any younger at 8 and his last two runs have been poor, so you’d be hoping he’s back on song to his 2020 level of form if siding with him.  

3:00 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

16/17 – Won over 6f before
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had won 4 or more times before
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Had won a Group race before
7/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Winners from stall 8
2/17 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 6)
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Winners from stall 1
Tabdeed (4/1 jfav) won the race in 2020
8 of the last 10 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting

CASUMO KEY TREND: 14 of the last 17 winners were aged 5 or younger

CASUMO VERDICT: A fair renewal of this Group Three, but having said that we’ve also got several on slight recovery missions too. Royal Commando should find this easier than the G1 Diamond Jubilee Stakes (6th) he ran in last time out and will also be more at home on this better surface. Godolphin’s Royal Crusade blew away the cobwebs at Newmarket last time in the G3 Criterion Stakes (7th) and will be better now dropped back to 6f. King’s Lynn ran a blinder to be a close second in the Wokingham Handicap and prior to that has run well in and around this level to certainly command respect. But we’ve also got last year’s winner in the race – TABDEED – and I feel the top-rated horse in the race is once again the one to beat. This Owen Burrows runner returned from a long break to run a respectable fourth in the G3 Chipchase Stakes at Newcastle last time and with 3 weeks to get over that, should be spot-on for this now. Of the rest, DILIGENT HARRY was actually a place ahead of Tabdeed at Newcastle (3rd) last time out and looks set to run his race again – he’s the danger for me. Course winners, Method and Happy Romance make up the seven runners.  

 

3.40 – Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV 

16/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
13/17 – Won 1-2 times before
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/17 – Won by a Feb or March foal
9/17 – Irish bred winners
9/17 – Won by a filly
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/17 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Winners from stall 1
Richard Hannon has trained the winner in 2014, 2018 and 2020
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017

CASUMO KEY TREND: The Richard Hannon yard have won 6 of the last 17 runnings 


CASUMO VERDICT: A big pot up for grabs for these 2 year-olds, with £98k going to the winner. It’s a race the Richard Hannon and Richard Fahey yards like to target, so their runners have to be a good place to start. Fahey has just the one runner this year too and that could be significant – VINTAGE CLARETS. This 103-rated juvenile has already set a decent standard in his races too, when last seen running a cracking third in the G2 Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot. That is one of the best bits of form on offer here and he also gets in here with only 8-9 to carry – Paul Hanagan, who teamed up with Fahey to win this race in 2013, is in the saddle. Then the Richard Hannon yard have an army – Raging, Zoltan Star, Gubbass, Symphony Perfect, Banner Moonshine and Desert. All six have to be respected, but if pushed the Sean Levey-ridden Gubbass, who won well on debut at Leicester, stands out. Sean rode the Hannon winner of the race 12 months ago too and with a G2 Gimcrack entry later in the season, connections clearly feel this colt is useful. The other class act in the race, based on what we’ve seen so far on the track, is CHIPOTLE. This 2 year-old has won 3 of his 4 starts, including the Listed Windsor Castle Stakes last time out at Royal Ascot. His only poor run to date came on softer ground, so any more rain would be a negative, but should conditions dry out more in the build-up to the race he might be hard to beat. 

 

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Betway Summer Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV

16/19 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
15/19 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
14/19 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
13/19 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
11/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/19 – Had run at Market Rasen before
2/19 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/19 – Winning favourites
13 of the last 14 winners carried 11-5 or less
10 of the last 15 winners carried 11-0 or less
9 of the last 15 winners retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
Red Force One (5/1) won the race in 2020

CASUMO KEY TREND: 13 of 14 winners carried 11st 5lbs or less

CASUMO VERDICT: A super-competitive renewal, as normal. But with 15 of the last 19 winners aged 5 or 6, then this is a good trend to have onside. This would be a negative got Hang In There, Mrs Hyde, Ambassador, Snookered, Ingleby Hollow, Stonific and Competition, who are all either older or younger than 5 or 6. We’ve last year’s winner in the race too – Red Force One, when trained by Paul Nicholls (he’s now with Philip Kirby) He’s been running on the flat of late with a degree of success and being only 2lbs higher than 12 months ago can’t be ruled out. Camprond was a very easy winner here last time out and will be popular, but he was sent off 1/14 in the betting that day so was entitled to win well. He should still go well, but this will be a lot harder than last time. Both Voice Of Calm and Valentino Dancer were good winners last time out, but are also both up a fair bit in the handicap as a result – Voice Of Calm is up 9bs and Valentino Dancer 8lbs. The Henderson-trained Hooper – keeps defying his knockers and has now won his last five. He’s up another 7lbs here from his last win at Stratford and even though you feel he’s hard to rule out, you also feel his winning spree has to end soon. So, the two I like are WICKED WEST (e/w) and PAGERO (e/w). The former hails from the Dr Richard Newland yard that won this race in 2015 and he heads here in great form after an easy win at Southwell last time out. The form of that race has been franked since with the second – Percy’s Word – winning well in midweek, so even though he’s up 12lbs here, there should be more to come with only five career runs over the sticks. Then Pagero often travels well in his races, and I expect that to happen again here. This Jonjo O’Neill runner ran well to be second over 2m4f last time, but the drop back to 2m will help, with conditions ideal too. He’s won 3 of his 13 hurdles starts and been placed in 8 of those too, so even though he ran a poor race at Hexham last October – overall, he’s a fairly consistent performer.

2.40 – Betway Summer Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m5 1/2f ITV

18/19 – Had run within the last 3 months
17/19 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
16/19 – Aged 7 or older
13/19 – Had won 2 or more chases before
13/19 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/19 – Had run at Market Rasen before
11/19 – Won their previous race
7/19 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
5/19 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/19 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/19 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 10)
2/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
10 of the last 13 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

CASUMO KEY TREND: 10 of the last 13 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old 

CASUMO VERDICT: Another race with several chances, but it’s hard to not have been taken by the way the Dr Richard Newland-trained CAPTAIN TOM CAT has taken to fences. This useful hurdler is now 3-from-3 over fences and has won that trio of race by an aggregate of 52 lengths! The last of those successes came at Worcester when he got home by 29 lengths. Yes, this will be harder now into a handicap for the first time and his chase mark of 147 is a lot higher than his hurdles rating of 126-127, but his jumping has caught the eye and likes to get on with things from the front so can stay out of trouble up top once again. Solomon Grey, who was third in this race 12 months ago, is a course winner, but needs to bounce back from unseating at Uttoxeter last time out, while others that come here in-form and off of good wins are the Paul Nicholls-trained Darling Maltaix and Fire Away – both should go well. The consistent Danse Idol is interesting too, with the Skelton yard booking a 7lb claimer to ride, while the likes of Francky Du Berlais, That’s A Given and Exelerator Express are others to consider. It’s the Amy Murphy runner – MERCIAN PRINCE (e/w) – that just edges it though. The yard won this race in 2020 and they look to have one with a fair chance of adding to that. This 10 year-old has been running well over hurdles – winning last time out at Worcester – but with 8 chase wins has a better record over the bigger obstacles. Trip and ground are fine, and he gets in here with a nice racing weight of 10-12 and seems to have benefitted from a wind-op that he had two runs ago. 

3.10 – Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-150) 2m7f ITV 

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/6 – Won between 2-5 times (hurdles)
5/6 – Aged 8 or younger
5/6 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
4/6 – Irish bred
4/6 – Won over 3m+ hurdles before
4/6 – Rated between 126-134
3/6 – Unplaced last time out
2/6 – Had run at the track before
1/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 5/1 

 

CASUMO VERDICT: Course winners, Byron Flyer and Giovanni Change can’t be ruled out and recent winners Breaking Waves and The Distant Lady are others that are sure to be popular. The last-named though hails from the Graeme McPherson yard and even though she was a nice winner at Newton Abbot last time out is up 6lbs and the stable are only 1-from-33 with their hurdlers at the track – that would be a worry. So, the two I’m going to focus on are TASTE THE FEAR and BALLYELLIS (e/w). The former comes from the Dr Richard Newland yard that have a 24% record with their hurdlers here. This 6 year-old was a winner at Uttoxeter in June and was only just touched off (2nd) last time at Worcester. Then Ballyellis could easily go well at a fair price in what looks a slightly easier race than the one he ran in last time at Uttoxeter. He’s one of just three proven winners at this trip and jockey Jordan Nailor gets on well with him to take off a handy 3lbs also – he comes from the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard that have an 18% record with their hurdlers at the track.


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